Botswana Defence Force XI vs FC Gilport Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2017 |
TOW
0 - 0
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
GAB
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GAL
1 - 0
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
BLF
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
POL
1 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 2
BOT
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 1
SES
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CEN
3 - 1
BOT
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
MIS
44%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
EXT
3 - 0
BOT
46%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |