Botswana Defence Force XI vs FC Gilport Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
NOT
1 - 3
BOT
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
TOW
1 - 0
BOT
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CEN
4 - 2
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 1
ECC
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ORA
2 - 0
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 1
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ORA
1 - 2
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ECC
2 - 3
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 1
BOT
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 2
UNI
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |