Botswana Defence Force XI vs FC Gilport Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MOT
0 - 1
BOT
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 1
TAF
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
BOT
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 2
EXT
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
BPE
1 - 0
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gilport Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEN
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
TOW
2 - 1
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 2
ECC
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 0
MOT
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
TAF
1 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |