Botswana Defence Force XI vs Black Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GAB
2 - 0
BOT
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 4
TOW
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
EXT
56%
26%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
POL
1 - 2
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Black Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SES
4 - 0
BLF
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
BLF
1 - 2
PRI
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
GAB
2 - 0
BLF
56%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BLF
1 - 1
BRH
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
BLF
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |