Botswana vs Swaziland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
EQG
0 - 2
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
TOG
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MWI
1 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 0
ZIM
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CGO
3 - 1
SWZ
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SWZ
0 - 3
GHA
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RSA
6 - 2
SWZ
74%
19%
7%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
SWZ
3 - 0
COM
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 11 | 40 | 0 |