Botswana vs Swaziland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
BOT
0 - 0
EGY
8%
21%
71%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 0
LSO
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
MTN
4 - 0
BOT
27%
25%
49%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ZAM
1 - 0
BOT
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
UGA
3 - 1
BOT
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ERI
0 - 0
SWZ
10%
17%
73%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SWZ
0 - 2
ANG
14%
23%
63%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SWZ
3 - 1
LSO
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
SWZ
1 - 2
ZIM
16%
25%
60%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
MOZ
4 - 0
SWZ
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |