Botswana vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
SWZ
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 0
BOT
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
NAM
0 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
BOT
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SWZ
0 - 1
BOT
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
MOZ
2 - 3
NGA
13%
23%
65%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 1
MOZ
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOZ
3 - 2
BEN
24%
26%
51%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 1
MOZ
7%
17%
76%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
LSO
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |