Botswana vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.1%
+1
6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
22.2%
70.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
22.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
29.4%
0-2
18.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 0
MWI
24%
23%
53%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
TUN
4 - 1
BOT
90%
8%
2%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
MOZ
0 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NAM
0 - 0
BOT
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
MWI
1 - 1
MAR
25%
30%
45%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
MLI
0 - 0
MAR
29%
30%
41%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARG
16%
24%
61%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
SUI
37%
28%
36%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |