Botswana vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
63%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
MOZ
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
SWZ
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 0
BOT
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
NAM
0 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
BOT
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 1
UGA
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 1
GAB
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 0
GNB
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MWI
2 - 2
GUI
22%
25%
54%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 1
GUI
90%
8%
2%
|
74 | 97 | 23 | 0 |