Botswana vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.7%
4.6%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
BOT
8%
18%
74%
|
63 | 14 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 0
BOT
70%
20%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
MLI
19%
24%
58%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
ERI
76%
17%
7%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ERI
0 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
BOT
8%
18%
74%
|
14 | 63 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
GHA
2 - 0
COM
91%
8%
1%
|
14 | 83 | 69 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
GHA
5%
14%
81%
|
13 | 84 | 71 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 1
COM
76%
18%
7%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
LSO
8%
16%
77%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |