Botswana vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
67.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
EGY
1 - 1
BOT
86%
11%
3%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
MTN
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
CPV
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
CPV
0 - 1
BOT
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 4
EGY
7%
18%
74%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALG
5 - 1
LBR
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
EQG
0 - 0
ALG
14%
23%
62%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 1
ALG
12%
21%
68%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ALG
5 - 1
TOG
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
LBR
0 - 3
ALG
11%
20%
70%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |