Botswana vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MOZ
1 - 1
BOT
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 2
SWE
12%
25%
62%
|
70 | 92 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
TUN
19%
27%
54%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 0
SWZ
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
EQG
0 - 2
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
NAM
1 - 2
MWI
36%
26%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
IND
2 - 0
NAM
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GAM
3 - 1
NAM
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
NAM
0 - 0
BOT
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
RSA
1 - 1
NAM
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |