Botswana vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 2
ZAM
21%
24%
54%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 1
MTN
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
BDI
1 - 0
BOT
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
BOT
0 - 0
LBY
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 0
BDI
61%
21%
17%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
MWI
1 - 2
NAM
53%
22%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
NAM
1 - 1
COD
26%
24%
51%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
NAM
1 - 0
LBY
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
NAM
1 - 2
ZAM
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
LBY
2 - 1
NAM
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |