Botswana vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
BOT
6 - 2
SWZ
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 0
LSO
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
BOT
3 - 2
NAM
28%
25%
48%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 1
MWI
25%
25%
51%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 3
MOZ
43%
24%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
BOT
3 - 2
NAM
28%
25%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
MUS
1 - 0
NAM
31%
24%
46%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
SEN
4 - 0
NAM
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
SWZ
2 - 1
NAM
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2001 |
NAM
1 - 0
LSO
70%
18%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |