Botswana vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 1
MWI
25%
25%
51%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 3
MOZ
43%
24%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
SWZ
0 - 1
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
BOT
2 - 1
LSO
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 2
SWZ
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
MUS
1 - 0
NAM
31%
24%
46%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
SEN
4 - 0
NAM
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
SWZ
2 - 1
NAM
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2001 |
NAM
1 - 0
LSO
70%
18%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2000 |
MWI
1 - 2
NAM
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |