Botswana vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
EQG
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EQG
2 - 0
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 0
BOT
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 0
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 1
BOT
41%
27%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LBY
0 - 1
TUN
18%
27%
55%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 0
LBY
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LBY
3 - 1
ETH
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
3 - 2
LBY
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 0
LBY
86%
11%
4%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |