Botswana vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 0
BDI
61%
21%
17%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAM
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 0
SWZ
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
BOT
0 - 0
EGY
8%
21%
71%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 0
LSO
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
LBY
2 - 1
NAM
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
LBY
0 - 0
DMA
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
ALG
2 - 1
LBY
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
TUN
2 - 0
LBY
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 1
COD
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |