Botswana vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
COM
81%
15%
5%
|
63 | 15 | 48 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
BOT
8%
18%
74%
|
63 | 14 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 0
BOT
70%
20%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
MLI
19%
24%
58%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
ERI
76%
17%
7%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LSO
2 - 1
SYC
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SYC
2 - 0
LSO
22%
22%
55%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 1
ZIM
15%
23%
63%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ZIM
3 - 1
LSO
61%
24%
16%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 1
COM
76%
18%
7%
|
53 | 12 | 41 | 0 |