Botswana vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
20.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
27.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
SWZ
1 - 1
BOT
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
ZAM
2 - 1
BOT
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
4 - 0
LSO
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 0
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
ALG
5 - 0
BOT
84%
12%
4%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
ERI
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ERI
1 - 2
NAM
7%
14%
79%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
ERI
76%
17%
7%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ERI
0 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
84%
12%
5%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | -1 |