Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 4-2
Botosani vs Spartaki Tskhinvali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botosani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
KRA
0 - 2
BOT
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
MTK
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
KFS
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 4
VIT
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
STB
2 - 0
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spartaki Tskhinvali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
KOL
1 - 1
TSK
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TSK
7 - 2
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
SHU
0 - 0
TSK
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
TSK
3 - 0
ZES
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SIO
3 - 4
TSK
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |