Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 0
BVR
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BVR
3 - 0
BEL
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
BVR
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 0
BVR
44%
23%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BVR
4 - 1
VID
61%
22%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
SEP
2 - 0
BAN
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BDI
0 - 1
SEP
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SEP
1 - 0
CHA
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SEP
1 - 2
AKA
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
SEP
0 - 0
FKM
18%
21%
61%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |