Botev Vratsa vs CSKA 1948 Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
13º
16º
15º
34
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 1
BVR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 0
SEP
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CVA
2 - 1
BVR
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 2
BER
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
4 - 0
BVR
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 0
SSO
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
CSK
31%
28%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PAF
4 - 0
CSK
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 1
PAF
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 1
CSK
47%
23%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |