Botev Plovdiv vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 3
LUD
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 3
BOT
16%
24%
60%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
NEF
65%
20%
14%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 3
DIO
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
CHB
27%
25%
47%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NES
0 - 2
SLI
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 1
NES
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NES
0 - 1
DOB
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 1
NES
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |