Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 0-2
Botev Plovdiv vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SSO
2 - 3
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
4 - 0
BEI
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
OFK
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
BEI
1 - 1
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
UDL
34%
26%
41%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
ARO
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
GFC
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
SPB
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |