Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
4º
4º
52
3º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
52 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 1 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSK
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
SSO
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 4
BOT
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
BOT
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
BVR
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 1
ARK
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LPL
1 - 1
CSK
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 1
LSO
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
LUD
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
CSK
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |