Botev Ihtiman vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Ihtiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2009 |
CHE
3 - 1
BOT
56%
22%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 1
VEL
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LEP
3 - 0
BOT
68%
19%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 3
MAL
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MIP
2 - 0
BOT
44%
25%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2009 |
SEP
4 - 1
GER
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BAN
0 - 2
SEP
29%
26%
44%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SEP
3 - 1
MIN
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SLI
1 - 2
SEP
20%
25%
55%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SEP
4 - 0
LDB
81%
14%
6%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |