Botev Ihtiman vs Pirin Razlog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Ihtiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIR
2 - 0
BOT
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 0
BOT
81%
14%
6%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 2
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GER
1 - 3
BOT
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
4 - 1
MAR
9%
19%
73%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | +2 |
Matches
Pirin Razlog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIR
0 - 2
CHA
20%
26%
54%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
PIR
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PIR
2 - 3
GER
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
PIR
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
PIR
0 - 0
SVO
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |