Botev Ihtiman vs Pirin Razlog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Ihtiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
VDD
1 - 0
BOT
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 0
FKV
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +4 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 0
BOT
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 58 | 34 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 1
BEP
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CHE
7 - 1
BOT
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pirin Razlog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
PIR
0 - 0
MIN
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MES
0 - 3
PIR
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PIR
3 - 2
VEL
63%
20%
16%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FKN
0 - 2
PIR
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PIR
6 - 0
HEB
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |