Botev Ihtiman vs Kostinbrod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Ihtiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LEP
4 - 1
BOT
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 2
SEP
12%
20%
68%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
FKV
3 - 0
BOT
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 1
SLI
15%
24%
61%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
6 - 0
BOT
73%
16%
10%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Kostinbrod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
KOS
0 - 0
LOS
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PEK
4 - 1
KOS
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
KOS
1 - 0
MES
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VDD
1 - 0
KOS
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
KOS
3 - 1
MIN
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |