Botafogo U23 vs Sport Recife U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
6º
1º
2
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BOT
4 - 0
ATM
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
CRB
2 - 2
BOT
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
ECV
0 - 0
BOT
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
VAS
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
SPR
3 - 0
BOT
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Sport Recife U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
SPR
0 - 1
CRB
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
SPR
11%
16%
73%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SPR
2 - 2
FLU
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPR
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CEC
2 - 0
SPR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |