Botafogo SP vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 0
BOT
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
MIR
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 1
BOT
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 0
COR
15%
24%
61%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 4
LIN
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
XVD
1 - 1
SAN
10%
17%
72%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
XVD
2 - 2
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
XVD
3 - 1
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 4
XVD
39%
25%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
XVD
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |