Botafogo SP vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BOT
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
CRA
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 0
BOT
27%
29%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 3
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
GAM
27%
25%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
DUQ
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAL
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ATM
3 - 0
VIL
88%
10%
2%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |