Botafogo SP vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
AME
2 - 0
BOT
30%
24%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
BOT
0 - 2
COR
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 0
BOT
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
FOR
7 - 1
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
BOT
3 - 7
MOG
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 2
POR
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 2
UNI
36%
25%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 2
AME
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
JEC
3 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 0
REM
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |