Botafogo SP vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 2
GUA
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOT
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 4
BOT
22%
28%
51%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 0
BOT
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TOM
3 - 0
JUV
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TOM
2 - 1
GUA
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
YPI
2 - 1
TOM
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TOM
4 - 0
MOG
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
TOM
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |