Botafogo SP vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
BOT
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
MON
80%
15%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
FER
1 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
SER
83%
13%
3%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
COT
1 - 3
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
0 - 0
FLA
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
JUV
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |