Botafogo SP vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
ITU
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
RBB
1 - 0
BOT
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 2
BOT
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 0
SAO
43%
26%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 0
LIN
81%
14%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 0
MAR
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
SLO
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |