Botafogo SP vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
BOT
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
COM
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
BOT
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
PEN
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAL
21%
24%
56%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITU
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
CSA
0 - 1
SAO
14%
21%
65%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
COR
2 - 3
SAO
45%
28%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
4 - 0
AUD
72%
19%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 3
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |