Botafogo SP vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
62.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 2
BOT
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 0
BOT
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 0
BOT
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAU
1 - 1
BOT
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
STR
2 - 1
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
COR
49%
27%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
PAU
0 - 2
SAO
11%
21%
68%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAO
13%
21%
66%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |