Botafogo SP vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
ITU
50%
24%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
BOT
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 6
PAL
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OES
2 - 3
BOT
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
PPE
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
CAT
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ITU
2 - 2
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 2
MIR
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 2
OES
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |