Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 0-3
Botafogo SP vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOT
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
3 - 1
SAO
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 3
SAO
11%
22%
68%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOT
10%
20%
70%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BLO
0 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
49%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
IGU
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ITU
3 - 0
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
COR
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
CEI
0 - 1
SAN
9%
20%
71%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |