Botafogo SP vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOT
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 4
POR
27%
24%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ITU
3 - 1
BOT
38%
25%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PPE
3 - 1
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 2
ATP
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
PAU
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
1 - 0
OES
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAU
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
3 - 0
ECS
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |