Botafogo SP vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 2
BOT
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
3 - 1
LON
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
XVD
1 - 2
BOT
28%
26%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 0
AME
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
4 - 1
BRA
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
LON
2 - 2
PAU
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
PAU
1 - 0
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
PAU
5 - 1
UNI
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
BRA
1 - 3
PAU
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
PAU
2 - 1
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |