Botafogo SP vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOT
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
5 - 3
YPI
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
TOM
2 - 1
BOT
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 1
TUP
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 2
BOT
25%
30%
46%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
6%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ATP
3 - 0
PAL
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 0
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
AVA
2 - 1
PAL
17%
24%
60%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
PAL
5 - 1
SPO
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |