Botafogo SP vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
PPE
28%
29%
43%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CUI
2 - 0
BOT
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
JUV
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
FFL
0 - 0
BOT
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
AVA
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FFL
2 - 0
NAU
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 0
GUA
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAU
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 0
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |