Botafogo SP vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 6
CEA
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
SAM
3 - 2
BOT
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 0
JEC
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOT
19%
25%
56%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
CAX
0 - 1
BOT
25%
27%
48%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
MOG
1 - 2
NAU
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
NAU
1 - 0
XVD
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
NAU
2 - 0
ANA
47%
24%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2002 |
CRI
1 - 0
NAU
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
JEC
2 - 1
NAU
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |