Botafogo SP vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
CAP
44%
25%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
BOT
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 1
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
AUD
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
80%
15%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MOG
1 - 2
PAL
10%
18%
73%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ITU
0 - 1
MOG
67%
21%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
MOG
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 3
NOV
24%
21%
55%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
PPE
0 - 1
MOG
73%
19%
9%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | +1 |