Botafogo SP vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
BOT
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 4
SAN
12%
20%
68%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 0
BOT
39%
25%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
COM
64%
20%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
MOG
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
COR
18%
27%
55%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
COM
1 - 3
MOG
33%
24%
43%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
MOG
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 3
PPE
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |