Botafogo SP vs Mirassol FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 3
APA
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
APA
1 - 3
BOT
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 1
VOL
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
REM
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
MIR
3 - 3
VOL
52%
24%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 2
MIR
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
APA
2 - 2
MIR
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
MIR
25%
28%
47%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |