Botafogo SP vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
6 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
XVD
4 - 1
BOT
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
BRA
40%
25%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 3
SAO
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 2
BOT
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CRI
3 - 3
MET
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
AVA
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MET
4 - 0
CAM
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |