Botafogo SP vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 0
BOT
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
3 - 2
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
MIR
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
11%
21%
68%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ITU
0 - 3
AGU
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
ITU
15%
23%
62%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
ITU
1 - 3
PAL
15%
23%
63%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
ITU
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |